COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
ADT vs CXW
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ADT scored 59.3, CXW scored 51.4 — ADT leads.
Compare another set
ADT
ADT Inc.
59.3
$7.38 · $5.4B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
7.9
ADT leads
CXW
CoreCivic, Inc.
51.4
$34.01 · $3.4B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestADT10.3x
- Fastest growthCXW+12.7%
- Strongest balance sheetCXW0.95
- Highest qualityADT69 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueADT-82%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ADT
stronger →← stronger
CXW
69
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
48
52
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
76
58
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
37
ADT is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ADT
CXW
$2.0bC+
FCF
$57mC-
+2.1%C
Rev
+12.7%B+
2.24D
D/E
0.95C+
10.3xA
P/E
27.0xB
1.50B
PEG
1.06B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ADT
CXW
82% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
68% above
decline
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~27%/yr
+440%
1-yr DCF upside
-55%
+467%
5-yr DCF upside
-40%
+508%
10-yr DCF upside
-8%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ADT
Why this score
- Diluting shareholders
CXW
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
ADTADT Inc.
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $5.4b. 17% off the 52-week high of $8.94. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $8.23 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.24 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $3.4b. Trading near 52-week high of $34.86 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $41.80 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ADT and CXW diverge
On the headline score the gap is 7.9 points in favor of ADT. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- GrowthADT 51.8 · CXW 75.8CXW +24.0
- ValueADT 58.5 · CXW 37.2ADT +21.3
- QualityADT 68.7 · CXW 48.1ADT +20.6
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.