COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
CVI vs MPC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CVI scored 60.7, MPC scored 52.1 — CVI leads.
Compare another set
CVI
CVR Energy, Inc.
60.7
$38.26 · $3.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
8.6
CVI leads
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
52.1
$315.57 · $92.1B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CVI
stronger →← stronger
MPC
63
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
77
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
72
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
37
CVI and MPC split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CVI
MPC
$351mC
FCF
$5.7bB+
+17.9%B+
Rev
-1.7%D+
2.45D
D/E
1.47C
0.5xA
P/S
—
0.71A-
PEG
1.55C+
—
P/E
20.8xC+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CVI
MPC
60% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
17% below
~-7%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-6%/yr
+90%
1-yr DCF upside
+35%
+151%
5-yr DCF upside
+21%
+279%
10-yr DCF upside
+2%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CVI
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
MPC
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Revenue shrinking
The companies
CVICVR Energy, Inc.
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $3.8b. 8% off the 52-week high of $41.67. Revenue growing +18%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.71 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 5 sell-side analysts rate this an Underperform with a mean 1-yr target of $29.40 (implying -23% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.45 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 0.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $92.1b. 3% off the 52-week high of $326.92. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $303.89 (implying -4% upside).
Moat
ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 123% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $92.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.