COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CSAN vs PSX
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CSAN scored 54.9, PSX scored 54.5 — CSAN leads.
Compare another set
CSAN
Cosan S.A.
54.9
$2.75 · $2.7B
Score gap
0.4
CSAN leads
PSX
Phillips 66
54.5
$242.87 · $97.4B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- Fastest growthPSX+14.4%
- Strongest balance sheetPSX0.63
- Highest qualityPSX67 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueCSAN-85%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CSAN
stronger →← stronger
PSX
45
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
67
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
100
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
48
CSAN and PSX split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CSAN
PSX
$1.0bC+
FCF
$6.4bB+
+11.4%B
Rev
+14.4%B+
1.10C
D/E
0.63B
0.4xA
P/S
—
—
PEG
1.15B+
—
P/E
110.9xD
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CSAN
PSX
85% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
6% below
decline
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-3%/yr
+500%
1-yr DCF upside
+18%
+568%
5-yr DCF upside
+6%
+678%
10-yr DCF upside
-10%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CSAN
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Foreign reporter (BRL)
PSX
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
The companies
CSANCosan S.A.
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $2.7b. Down 54% from 52-week high of $6.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 4 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $3.63 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -18.6%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 54% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -21% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
PSXPhillips 66
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $97.4b. Trading near 52-week high of $246.95 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $221.68 (implying -9% upside).
Moat
ROE 23% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $97.4b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 110.9x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 4.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CSAN and PSX diverge
The two are effectively level on the headline score. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueCSAN 100.0 · PSX 48.2CSAN +51.8
- QualityCSAN 45.4 · PSX 67.2PSX +21.8
- GrowthCSAN 50.0 · PSX 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.