COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
AR vs COP
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AR scored 63.9, COP scored 56.5 — AR leads.
Compare another set
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
63.9
$37.94 · $11.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
7.4
AR leads
COP
ConocoPhillips
56.5
$134.87 · $162.0B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestAR10.9x
- Fastest growthAR+25.8%
- Strongest balance sheetCOP0.36
- Highest qualityCOP86 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueAR-7%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AR
stronger →← stronger
COP
66
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
86
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
79
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
42
AR and COP split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AR
COP
$899mC+
FCF
$11.8bA-
+25.8%A-
Rev
+9.2%B
0.55B
D/E
0.36B+
10.9xB+
P/E
17.8xB
0.49A
PEG
1.03B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AR
COP
7% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
13% above
~0%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~1%/yr
+11%
1-yr DCF upside
-1%
+7%
5-yr DCF upside
-11%
+3%
10-yr DCF upside
-23%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AR
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
COP
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
The companies
ARAntero Resources Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $11.7b. 17% off the 52-week high of $45.75. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.49 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 20 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $49.40 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
COPConocoPhillips
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $162.0b. Trading near 52-week high of $135.88 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 24 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $144.29 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 127% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AR and COP diverge
On the headline score the gap is 7.4 points in favor of AR. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueAR 78.6 · COP 42.0AR +36.6
- QualityAR 66.3 · COP 85.8COP +19.5
- GrowthAR 50.0 · COP 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.