COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
CMG vs MLCO
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CMG scored 55.6, MLCO scored 66.9 — MLCO leads.
Compare another set
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
55.6
$38.84 · $49.9B
Score gap
11.3
MLCO leads
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
66.9
$5.83 · $2.3B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CMG
stronger →← stronger
MLCO
81
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
64
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
43
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
94
CMG and MLCO split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CMG
MLCO
$1.5bC+
FCF
$809mC+
+5.7%C+
Rev
+11.3%B
1.79C
D/E
—
30.0xC+
P/E
10.0xA
5.30D
PEG
0.37A
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CMG
MLCO
103% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
92% below
~22%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
decline
-52%
1-yr DCF upside
+852%
-51%
5-yr DCF upside
+1162%
-48%
10-yr DCF upside
+1843%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CMG
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
MLCO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
The companies
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Why now
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · market cap $49.9b. 17% off the 52-week high of $46.61.
Moat
ROE 48% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Trailing P/E 30x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $2.3b. Down 43% from 52-week high of $10.15 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.37 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $7.57 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE -15% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.