COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026

CMG vs EAT

Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CMG scored 55.6, EAT scored 67.4 — EAT leads.
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CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · Quality-Growth
55.6
$38.84 · $49.9B
Score gap
11.8
EAT leads
EAT
Brinker International, Inc.
Restaurants · Quality-Growth
67.4
$207.55 · $8.9B
fundamentals as of
THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY81GROWTH50VALUE43
THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD67/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY77GROWTH85VALUE47
CMG
stronger →← stronger
EAT
81
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
77
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
85
43
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
47
EAT is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
CMG
EAT
$1.5bC+
FCF
$504mC+
+5.7%C+
Rev
+11.8%B
1.79C
D/E
4.31D
30.0xC+
P/E
20.2xB
5.30D
PEG
1.42B
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
CMG
EAT
103% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
8% above
~22%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~12%/yr
-52%
1-yr DCF upside
-21%
-51%
5-yr DCF upside
-8%
-48%
10-yr DCF upside
+16%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
CMG
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
EAT
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · $38.84 · beta 0.94
Why now
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · market cap $49.9b. 17% off the 52-week high of $46.61.
Moat
ROE 48% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Trailing P/E 30x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
EATBrinker International, Inc.
Restaurants · $207.55 · beta 1.25
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $8.9b. Trading near 52-week high of $210.00 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $197.95 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 109% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 4.31 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.