COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CF vs OGC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CF scored 74.5, OGC scored 76.8 — OGC leads.
Compare another set
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
74.5
$125.70 · $19.0B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
2.3
OGC leads
OGC
OceanaGold Corporation
76.8
$30.72 · $6.8B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestOGC8.1x
- Fastest growthOGC+46.3%
- Strongest balance sheetOGC0.02
- Highest qualityOGC95 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueOGC-46%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CF
stronger →← stronger
OGC
91
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
95
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
91
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
95
OGC is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CF
OGC
$1.9bC+
FCF
$765mC+
+20.0%A-
Rev
+46.3%A
0.41B
D/E
0.02A
9.3xA
P/E
8.1xA
0.40A
PEG
—
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CF
OGC
18% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
46% below
~-6%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-1%/yr
+36%
1-yr DCF upside
+43%
+22%
5-yr DCF upside
+86%
+6%
10-yr DCF upside
+169%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CF
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
OGC
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
The companies
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Agricultural Inputs · market cap $19.0b. 11% off the 52-week high of $141.96. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.40 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $125.77 (implying +0% upside).
Moat
Net margin 32% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
OGCOceanaGold Corporation
Why now
Gold · market cap $6.8b. Down 29% from 52-week high of $43.33 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +46% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 35% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Beta 1.51 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
OGC leads CF by 2.3 points (76.8 to 74.5), its sharpest advantage coming in D/E (grade A). A contrarian could still prefer CF, which trades about 16% below our DCF fair value — a margin of safety the score doesn't reward. Note they play different roles — CF screens as value, OGC screens as growth — so the model rewards different traits for each.
Our AI analyst is busy right now, so this verdict is drawn directly from the pillars, grades and DCF above.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CF and OGC diverge
On the headline score the gap is 2.3 points in favor of OGC. The widest single difference is Value, where OGC leads by 4.4 points.
- ValueCF 90.6 · OGC 95.0OGC +4.4
- QualityCF 91.3 · OGC 95.5OGC +4.2
- GrowthCF 50.0 · OGC 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.