COMPARE · Reviewed August 3, 2026
CF vs NTR
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CF scored 60.0, NTR scored 55.6 — CF leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. CF's fundamentals are as of March 2026, but NTR's are as of December 2025 — a 3-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
60
$118.30 · $18.2B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
4.4
CF leads
NTR
Nutrien Ltd.
55.6
$65.96 · $31.7B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CF
stronger →← stronger
NTR
89
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
59
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
48
49
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
60
CF is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CF
NTR
$1.6bC+
FCF
$2.1bB
+20.9%A-
Rev
+3.5%C+
0.44B
D/E
0.55C+
10.7xA-
P/E
13.4xB+
3.75D
PEG
1.29B
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CF
NTR
8% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
28% above
~-4%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~4%/yr
+21%
1-yr DCF upside
-13%
+9%
5-yr DCF upside
-22%
-6%
10-yr DCF upside
-32%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CF
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Cyclical growth
NTR
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Agricultural Inputs · market cap $18.2b. 17% off the 52-week high of $141.96. Revenue growing +21%, comfortably above the S&P median. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $125.25 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
NTRNutrien Ltd.
Why now
Agricultural Inputs · market cap $31.7b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $85.36 — deep drawdown territory. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $77.59 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.