COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CENX vs ORLA
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CENX scored 66.7, ORLA scored 65.2 — CENX leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. CENX's fundamentals are as of June 2026, but ORLA's are as of March 2026 — a 3-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
66.7
$43.92 · $4.3B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
1.5
CENX leads
ORLA
Orla Mining Ltd
65.2
$9.44 · $3.5B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestCENX7.6x
- Fastest growthORLA+207.6%
- Strongest balance sheetCENX0.31
- Highest qualityORLA81 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueORLA-35%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CENX
stronger →← stronger
ORLA
72
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
81
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
82
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
68
CENX and ORLA split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CENX
ORLA
$151mC
FCF
$359mC
+9.7%B
Rev
+207.6%A
0.31B
D/E
0.42B
7.6xA
P/E
13.1xA-
0.06A
PEG
1.34B
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CENX
ORLA
128% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
35% below
~37%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-4%/yr
-65%
1-yr DCF upside
+40%
-56%
5-yr DCF upside
+53%
-41%
10-yr DCF upside
+72%
These two disagree on this pair: the Value pillar ranks cheapness against sector peers, while price-vs-fair-value is an absolute read. A name can be the better value in its sector and still the dearer one on cash flows.
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CENX
Why this score
- Diluting shareholders
- Cyclical growth
ORLA
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
The companies
CENXCentury Aluminum Company
Why now
Aluminum · market cap $4.3b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $70.43 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.06 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $70.00 (implying +59% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.00 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
ORLAOrla Mining Ltd
Why now
Gold · market cap $3.5b. Down 57% from 52-week high of $21.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +208% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 19% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 42% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 142% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 57% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CENX and ORLA diverge
On the headline score the gap is 1.5 points in favor of CENX. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueCENX 81.9 · ORLA 68.4CENX +13.5
- QualityCENX 72.4 · ORLA 81.0ORLA +8.6
- GrowthCENX 50.0 · ORLA 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.