COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CENX vs OGC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CENX scored 66.7, OGC scored 76.8 — OGC leads.
Compare another set
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
66.7
$43.92 · $4.3B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
10.1
OGC leads
OGC
OceanaGold Corporation
76.8
$31.01 · $6.9B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestCENX7.6x
- Fastest growthOGC+46.3%
- Strongest balance sheetOGC0.02
- Highest qualityOGC95 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueOGC-46%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CENX
stronger →← stronger
OGC
72
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
95
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
82
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
95
OGC is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CENX
OGC
$151mC
FCF
$765mC+
+9.7%B
Rev
+46.3%A
0.31B
D/E
0.02A
7.6xA
P/E
8.2xA
0.06A
PEG
—
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CENX
OGC
128% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
46% below
~37%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-1%/yr
-65%
1-yr DCF upside
+41%
-56%
5-yr DCF upside
+84%
-41%
10-yr DCF upside
+166%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CENX
Why this score
- Diluting shareholders
- Cyclical growth
OGC
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
The companies
CENXCentury Aluminum Company
Why now
Aluminum · market cap $4.3b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $70.43 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.06 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $70.00 (implying +59% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.00 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
OGCOceanaGold Corporation
Why now
Gold · market cap $6.9b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $43.33 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +46% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 35% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Beta 1.51 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CENX and OGC diverge
On the headline score the gap is 10.1 points in favor of OGC. The widest single difference is Quality, where OGC leads by 23.1 points.
- QualityCENX 72.4 · OGC 95.5OGC +23.1
- ValueCENX 81.9 · OGC 95.0OGC +13.1
- GrowthCENX 50.0 · OGC 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.