COMPARE · Data as of August 27, 2026
BTU vs HCC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. BTU scored 13.0, HCC scored 35.3 — HCC leads.
Compare another set
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
13
$29.44 · $3.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
22.3
HCC leads
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
35.3
$108.26 · $5.7B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestBTU0.9x
- Fastest growthHCC+37.5%
- Strongest balance sheetBTU0.13
- Highest qualityHCC50 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/S multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
BTU
stronger →← stronger
HCC
31
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
50
14
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
5
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
18
HCC is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
BTU
HCC
-$192mF
FCF
-$95mF
-0.7%D+
Rev
+37.5%A
0.13A
D/E
0.10A-
0.9xA-
P/S
3.4xB
—
PEG
3.29D
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Model signals
BTU
No notable signals flagged.
HCC
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
The companies
BTUPeabody Energy Corporation
Why now
Thermal Coal · market cap $3.6b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $41.14 — deep drawdown territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $30.75 (implying +4% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$192m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -5.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.
Why now
Coking Coal · market cap $5.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $111.20 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +37% — in hypergrowth territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $105.17 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$95m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where BTU and HCC diverge
On the headline score the gap is 22.3 points in favor of HCC. The widest single difference is Growth, where HCC leads by 35.9 points.
- GrowthBTU 14.1 · HCC 50.0HCC +35.9
- QualityBTU 30.6 · HCC 49.9HCC +19.3
- ValueBTU 5.1 · HCC 17.7HCC +12.6
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.