COMPARE · Reviewed July 17, 2026
AYA vs SSRM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AYA scored 70.6, SSRM scored 69.1 — AYA leads.
Compare another set
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
70.6
$18.75 · $2.7B
Score gap
1.5
AYA leads
SSRM
SSR Mining Inc.
69.1
$25.57 · $5.3B
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AYA
stronger →← stronger
SSRM
89
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
68
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
79
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
97
AYA and SSRM split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AYA
SSRM
$56mC-
FCF
$380mC
+416.7%A
Rev
+63.7%A
0.21B+
D/E
0.02A-
31.2xC+
P/E
9.8xA-
0.08A
PEG
0.02A
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AYA
SSRM
220% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
36% below
~48%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-1%/yr
-76%
1-yr DCF upside
+32%
-69%
5-yr DCF upside
+57%
-55%
10-yr DCF upside
+103%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AYA
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
SSRM
Why this score
- Diluting shareholders
- Cyclical growth
The companies
AYAAya Gold & Silver Inc.
Why now
Silver · market cap $2.7b. 15% off the 52-week high of $22.00. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.08 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 30% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Beta 1.69 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
SSRMSSR Mining Inc.
Why now
Gold · market cap $5.3b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $36.52 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +64% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.02 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $41.40 (implying +62% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.