COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
AXIA vs VST
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AXIA scored 72.0, VST scored 73.8 — VST leads.
Compare another set
AXIA
Axia Energia SA
72
$10.12 · —
Score gap
1.8
VST leads
VST
Vistra Corp.
73.8
$136.21 · $45.7B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestAXIA12.4x
- Fastest growthVST+18.6%
- Strongest balance sheetAXIA0.63
- Highest qualityAXIA74 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AXIA
stronger →← stronger
VST
74
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
65
80
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
88
89
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
70
AXIA is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AXIA
VST
—
FCF
$2.3bB
+12.1%B+
Rev
+18.6%B+
0.63B
D/E
3.73D
12.4xB+
P/E
23.0xC+
—
PEG
0.41A
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AXIA
VST
—
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
17% above
—
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~19%/yr
—
1-yr DCF upside
-34%
—
5-yr DCF upside
-14%
—
10-yr DCF upside
+25%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AXIA
Why this score
- Short track record
VST
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
AXIAAxia Energia SA
Why now
Utilities · market cap $0. Down 86% from 52-week high of $74.52 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Net margin 21% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close.
Risk
Down 86% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
VSTVistra Corp.
Why now
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · market cap $45.7b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $219.82 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.41 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $219.72 (implying +61% upside).
Moat
ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 3.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.43 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AXIA and VST diverge
On the headline score the gap is 1.8 points in favor of VST. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueAXIA 89.4 · VST 70.2AXIA +19.2
- QualityAXIA 74.2 · VST 64.8AXIA +9.4
- GrowthAXIA 80.2 · VST 88.3VST +8.1
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.