Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AWI scored 68.9, EXPO scored 77.1 — EXPO leads.
Compare another set
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Building Products & Equipment · Quality-Growth
68.9
$161.87 · $6.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
8.2
EXPO leads
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
Engineering & Construction · Quality-Growth
77.1
$69.81 · $3.3B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestAWI22.1x
Fastest growthEXPO+12.8%
Strongest balance sheetEXPO0.28
Highest qualityEXPO92 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AWI
stronger →← stronger
EXPO
87
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
92
73
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
80
51
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
62
EXPO is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AWI
EXPO
$247mC
FCF
$109mC
+8.6%B
Rev
+12.8%B+
0.66B
D/E
0.28A-
22.1xB+
P/E
31.3xC+
2.02C
PEG
2.03C
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AWI
EXPO
77% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
29% above
~23%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~15%/yr
-49%
1-yr DCF upside
-31%
-44%
5-yr DCF upside
-22%
-35%
10-yr DCF upside
-7%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AWI
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
EXPO
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
The companies
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.
Building Products & Equipment · $161.87 · beta 1.16
Why now
Building Products & Equipment · market cap $6.8b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $206.08 — deep drawdown territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $210.18 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 19% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 36% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
EXPOExponent, Inc.
Engineering & Construction · $69.81 · beta 0.70
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $3.3b. 15% off the 52-week high of $81.95. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $84.00 (implying +20% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 39% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 97% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AWI and EXPO diverge
On the headline score the gap is 8.2 points in favor of EXPO. The widest single difference is Value, where EXPO leads by 11.0 points.
ValueAWI 51.2 · EXPO 62.2EXPO +11.0
GrowthAWI 73.4 · EXPO 80.0EXPO +6.6
QualityAWI 86.9 · EXPO 92.2EXPO +5.3
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is EXPO or AWI the better stock?
EXPO scores higher: EXPO 77.1, AWI 68.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do EXPO and AWI differ most?
The widest gap is value, where EXPO leads by 11 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. EXPO leads all three pillars, so the gap is broad rather than a single-measure difference.
How are EXPO and AWI scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.