COMPARE · Reviewed August 1, 2026
AMCR vs BALL
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AMCR scored 56.3, BALL scored 57.8 — BALL leads.
Compare another set
AMCR
Amcor plc
56.3
$44.88 · $20.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
1.5
BALL leads
BALL
Ball Corporation
57.8
$64.90 · $17.3B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AMCR
stronger →← stronger
BALL
47
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
63
70
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
74
54
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
42
BALL is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AMCR
BALL
$763mC+
FCF
$596mC+
+64.8%A
Rev
+13.7%B+
1.44C+
D/E
1.46C+
36.2xC
P/E
18.9xB+
0.63A-
PEG
1.39B
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AMCR
BALL
16% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
57% above
~9%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~20%/yr
-19%
1-yr DCF upside
-44%
-14%
5-yr DCF upside
-36%
-6%
10-yr DCF upside
-23%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AMCR
No notable signals flagged.
BALL
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
The companies
AMCRAmcor plc
Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $20.8b. 12% off the 52-week high of $50.94. Revenue growing +65% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.63 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $48.36 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 113% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Dividend payout 207% of earnings on a 5.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Trailing P/E 36x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 3.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
BALLBall Corporation
Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $17.3b. 5% off the 52-week high of $68.29. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $71.14 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.