COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
ALLE vs GEO
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ALLE scored 67.8, GEO scored 45.0 — ALLE leads.
Compare another set
ALLE
Allegion plc
67.8
$162.31 · $13.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
22.8
ALLE leads
GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REIT
45
$32.71 · $4.3B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestGEO15.4x
- Fastest growthGEO+15.3%
- Strongest balance sheetALLE1.05
- Highest qualityALLE83 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ALLE
stronger →← stronger
GEO
83
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
62
82
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
46
46
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
32
ALLE is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ALLE
GEO
$671mC+
FCF
$26mC-
+10.6%B
Rev
+15.3%B+
1.05C+
D/E
1.06C+
21.3xB+
P/E
15.4xA-
2.33C
PEG
1.82C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ALLE
GEO
7% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
471% above
~8%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
>60%/yr
-14%
1-yr DCF upside
-87%
-7%
5-yr DCF upside
-82%
+4%
10-yr DCF upside
-73%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ALLE
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
GEO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
ALLEAllegion plc
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $13.8b. 11% off the 52-week high of $183.11. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $174.64 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
GEOGeo Group Inc (The) REIT
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $4.3b. Trading near 52-week high of $32.91 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $37.75 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ALLE and GEO diverge
On the headline score the gap is 22.8 points in favor of ALLE. The widest single difference is Growth, where ALLE leads by 35.7 points.
- GrowthALLE 81.7 · GEO 46.0ALLE +35.7
- QualityALLE 82.8 · GEO 62.4ALLE +20.4
- ValueALLE 46.1 · GEO 31.8ALLE +14.3
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.