Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ALLE scored 74.1, GEO scored 58.3 — ALLE leads.
Compare another set
ALLE
Allegion plc
Security & Protection Services · Quality-Growth
74.1
$150.48 · $12.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
15.8
ALLE leads
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
Security & Protection Services · Quality-Growth
58.3
$31.13 · $4.1B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestGEO14.6x
Fastest growthALLE+10.6%
Strongest balance sheetALLE1.05
Highest qualityALLE83 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueALLE-2%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ALLE
stronger →← stronger
GEO
83
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
62
73
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
70
68
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
46
ALLE is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ALLE
GEO
$671mC+
FCF
$26mC-
+10.6%B
Rev
+8.6%B
1.05C+
D/E
1.06C+
19.7xB+
P/E
14.6xA-
1.90C+
PEG
1.37B
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ALLE
GEO
2% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
670% above
~6%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
>60%/yr
-5%
1-yr DCF upside
-88%
+2%
5-yr DCF upside
-87%
+13%
10-yr DCF upside
-86%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Security & Protection Services · market cap $12.8b. 18% off the 52-week high of $183.11. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $178.00 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Security & Protection Services · market cap $4.1b. 6% off the 52-week high of $33.17. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $39.00 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
ROE 20% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ALLE and GEO diverge
On the headline score the gap is 15.8 points in favor of ALLE. The widest single difference is Value, where ALLE leads by 22.0 points.
ValueALLE 67.5 · GEO 45.5ALLE +22.0
QualityALLE 82.9 · GEO 62.1ALLE +20.8
GrowthALLE 72.6 · GEO 70.0level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is ALLE or GEO the better stock?
ALLE scores higher: ALLE 74.1, GEO 58.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do ALLE and GEO differ most?
The widest gap is value, where ALLE leads by 22 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. ALLE also leads quality, while growth is effectively level between them.
How are ALLE and GEO scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.