COMPARE · Reviewed July 17, 2026
ALLE vs EXPO
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ALLE scored 73.7, EXPO scored 74.5 — EXPO leads.
Compare another set
ALLE
Allegion plc
73.7
$137.24 · $11.8B
Score gap
0.8
EXPO leads
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
74.5
$62.88 · $3.1B
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ALLE
stronger →← stronger
EXPO
82
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
93
79
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
76
62
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
58
ALLE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ALLE
EXPO
$683mC+
FCF
$113mC
+8.9%B
Rev
+7.8%B
1.06C+
D/E
0.24A-
18.7xA-
P/E
29.4xB
2.10C
PEG
2.03C
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ALLE
EXPO
9% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
18% above
~4%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~12%/yr
+1%
1-yr DCF upside
-24%
+10%
5-yr DCF upside
-15%
+23%
10-yr DCF upside
+1%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ALLE
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
EXPO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
The companies
ALLEAllegion plc
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $11.8b. Down 25% from 52-week high of $183.11 — deep drawdown territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $165.18 (implying +20% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 108% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
EXPOExponent, Inc.
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $3.1b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $81.95 — deep drawdown territory. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $81.67 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.