COMPARE · Reviewed August 3, 2026
ALLE vs CXW
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ALLE scored 69.9, CXW scored 50.6 — ALLE leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. ALLE's fundamentals are as of June 2026, but CXW's are as of March 2026 — a 3-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
ALLE
Allegion plc
69.9
$164.64 · $14.0B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
19.3
ALLE leads
CXW
CoreCivic, Inc.
50.6
$30.20 · $3.0B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ALLE
stronger →← stronger
CXW
83
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
47
82
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
76
51
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
36
ALLE is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ALLE
CXW
$671mC+
FCF
$26mC-
+10.6%B
Rev
+12.7%B+
1.05C+
D/E
1.02C+
21.6xB+
P/E
24.2xB+
2.25C
PEG
1.06B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ALLE
CXW
10% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
227% above
~8%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~45%/yr
-15%
1-yr DCF upside
-77%
-9%
5-yr DCF upside
-69%
+1%
10-yr DCF upside
-53%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ALLE
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
CXW
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
ALLEAllegion plc
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $14.0b. 10% off the 52-week high of $183.11. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $173.00 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $3.0b. 8% off the 52-week high of $32.69. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $36.40 (implying +21% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.