COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
AGI vs HBM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AGI scored 69.5, HBM scored 64.8 — AGI leads.
Compare another set
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
69.5
$38.73 · $16.2B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
4.7
AGI leads
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
64.8
$30.06 · $13.4B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestAGI13.9x
- Fastest growthAGI+34.3%
- Strongest balance sheetAGI0.05
- Highest qualityAGI84 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AGI
stronger →← stronger
HBM
84
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
76
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
80
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
72
AGI is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AGI
HBM
$288mC
FCF
$241mC
+34.3%A
Rev
+9.4%B
0.05A-
D/E
0.20B+
13.9xA-
P/E
18.4xB+
0.40A
PEG
0.60A-
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AGI
HBM
204% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
312% above
~46%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~57%/yr
-75%
1-yr DCF upside
-81%
-67%
5-yr DCF upside
-76%
-52%
10-yr DCF upside
-66%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AGI
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
HBM
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
The companies
AGIAlamos Gold Inc.
Why now
Gold · market cap $16.2b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $55.41 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +34% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.40 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $46.25 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
Net margin 49% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.
Why now
Copper · market cap $13.4b. 7% off the 52-week high of $32.15. PEG 0.60 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $32.60 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Beta 2.27 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AGI and HBM diverge
On the headline score the gap is 4.7 points in favor of AGI. The widest single difference is Value, where AGI leads by 8.7 points.
- ValueAGI 80.3 · HBM 71.6AGI +8.7
- QualityAGI 83.7 · HBM 76.1AGI +7.6
- GrowthAGI 50.0 · HBM 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.