COMPARE · Reviewed August 4, 2026
AES vs NJR
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AES scored 64.7, NJR scored 64.5 — AES leads.
Compare another set
AES
The AES Corporation
64.7
$14.68 · $10.5B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
0.2
AES leads
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
64.5
$57.39 · $5.8B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AES
stronger →← stronger
NJR
59
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
77
71
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
59
64
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
60
AES is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AES
NJR
-$1.7bF
FCF
$359mC
+8.5%B
Rev
+7.0%C+
2.60D
D/E
1.42B
0.8xA
P/S
—
0.81B+
PEG
2.24C
—
P/E
17.0xB+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AES
NJR
—
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
19% below
—
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-5%/yr
—
1-yr DCF upside
+35%
—
5-yr DCF upside
+23%
—
10-yr DCF upside
+7%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AES
Why this score
- Short track record
NJR
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
The companies
AESThe AES Corporation
Why now
Utilities - Diversified · market cap $10.5b. 17% off the 52-week high of $17.65. PEG 0.81 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $15.00 (implying +2% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 38% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
D/E 2.60 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$1.7b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $5.8b. 6% off the 52-week high of $60.86. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $60.43 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 24% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 98% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.