COMPARE · Reviewed July 2, 2026
ADMA vs NBIX
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ADMA scored 87.2, NBIX scored 87.4 — NBIX ahead by 0.20000000000000284.
ADMA
ADMA Biologics, Inc.
87.2
$8.95
Score gap
0.20000000000000284
NBIX leads
NBIX
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.
87.4
$174.26
The companies
ADMAADMA Biologics, Inc.
Why now
Biotechnology · market cap $2.1b. Down 56% from 52-week high of $20.46 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.67 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $17.60 (implying +97% upside).
Moat
Net margin 32% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 42% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Down 56% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences, Inc.
Why now
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · market cap $17.5b. Trading near 52-week high of $174.38 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +21%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.48 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 28 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $195.99 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 124% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trading within 0% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
Base grades (each contributes ~14.3% of base composite)
| ADMA | Component | NBIX |
|---|---|---|
| C65 | FCF | C+70 |
| B+85 | Rev | A-90 |
| C65 | D/E | B+85 |
| A-90 | P/E or P/S | B80 |
| A-90 | PEG | A95 |
| Supplemental signals · feed the score, not on the row card | ||
| B+85 | FCF Yield | B80 |
| A95 | ROE | B+85 |
| 82.8 | Base composite | 83.7 |
Adjustments (signed deltas applied on top of base)
ADMA
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
analyst consensus bullish (80% buy/strong-buy)+2
insider cluster buying (net +14.0%, 20 txns)+2
forward P/E cheaper (13 → 9)+1
mild accruals (OCF/NI 0.78)-1
DCF cross-check (avg upside 60%)+1
Total+6
NBIX
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
analyst consensus bullish (86% buy/strong-buy)+2
insider cluster buying (net +28.9%, 64 txns)+2
forward P/E cheaper (27 → 14)+1
Total+6
DCF cross-check (per-share value vs. live price)
| ADMA upside | Horizon | NBIX upside |
|---|---|---|
| +15% | 1Y | -16% |
| +48% | 5Y | +9% |
| +116% | 10Y | +58% |
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.