Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AAL scored 40.5, FDX scored 59.9 — FDX leads.
Compare another set
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Airlines · Quality-Growth
40.5
$12.76 · $8.4B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
19.4
FDX leads
FDX
FedEx Corporation
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Quality-Growth
59.9
$291.71 · $69.0B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
Fastest growthFDX+7.7%
Highest qualityFDX56 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AAL
stronger →← stronger
FDX
52
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
56
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
56
26
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
69
FDX is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AAL
FDX
$285mC
FCF
$5.1bB+
+7.5%B
Rev
+7.7%B
Negative equity
D/E
1.36C
0.1xA
P/S
—
0.11A
PEG
1.23B
—
P/E
15.7xA-
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AAL
FDX
97% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
7% above
~29%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~7%/yr
-57%
1-yr DCF upside
-10%
-49%
5-yr DCF upside
-7%
-37%
10-yr DCF upside
-2%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AAL
Why this score
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
FDX
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
Airlines · $12.76 · beta 1.38
Why now
Airlines · market cap $8.4b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $18.79 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.11 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $15.93 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -0.6%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Integrated Freight & Logistics · market cap $69.0b. 16% off the 52-week high of $345.37. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $355.50 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 115% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash. $69.0b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Net margin 4.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AAL and FDX diverge
On the headline score the gap is 19.4 points in favor of FDX. The widest single difference is Value, where FDX leads by 43.0 points.
ValueAAL 25.7 · FDX 68.7FDX +43.0
GrowthAAL 50.0 · FDX 55.7FDX +5.7
QualityAAL 51.8 · FDX 56.1FDX +4.3
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is FDX or AAL the better stock?
FDX scores higher: FDX 59.9, AAL 40.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do FDX and AAL differ most?
The widest gap is value, where FDX leads by 43 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. FDX leads all three pillars, so the gap is broad rather than a single-measure difference.
How are FDX and AAL scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.